5% chance of AI apocalypse
The median artificial-intelligence researcher believes there is a 5% chance that AI will cause human extinction. The finding comes from a survey of 2,700 AI scientists into the likely timescales and outcomes of AI development, the largest to date. The average researcher also thought it 50% likely that AI will achieve certain landmarks — such as writing songs indistinguishable from those by hit artists, or coding an entire payment-processing website from scratch — by 2028, and outperform humans at every possible task by 2047. Long-term forecasts are necessarily uncertain, and AI prognostication has been wrong before, but the result shows that researchers don’t think it’s “implausible that advanced AI destroys humanity,” a survey author told New Scientist.
Will climate change drive humans extinct or destroy civilization?
Almost certainly not—but unless we act quickly to stop warming the planet, there will be very severe consequences for many, many people.
October 20, 2023
First, the good news: climate scientists, as a whole, are not warning us to prepare for the apocalypse. The most recent report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)—a group of hundreds of scientists working with the United Nations to analyze climate change research from around the world—names many serious risks brought on by the warming of our planet, but human extinction is not among them.1
“If I had to rate odds, I would say the chances of climate change driving us to the point of human extinction are very low, if not zero,” says Adam Schlosser, the Deputy Director of the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change and a climate scientist who studies future climate change and its impact on human societies.
Yet we're being trained and expected to freak out over climate change but not a word of AI snuffing us out or, if you will, of humanity committing seppuku in reverence of the Davos psycho-Man's doggedly single minded pursuit of profit.
Deal me in!
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